Will anyone name who runs the fake local news sites ChatGPT cited, by Nov 14?

Call opened Nov 1, 2026 · days to weeks · the question's wording never changes after it is published
Open · resolves Nov 14, 2026

The index says: unlikely (30%). Graded on that date, right or wrong, in public.

Who is involved: OpenAI

Why the index thinks so

NPR and the New York Post could not find the operator; the domains were registered in one eight-minute window, which leaves registrar and payment trails, and the election ends the operator's reason to stay hidden. But earlier 'pink slime' networks often went unclaimed for months.

What would move it

NPR, VisionHeight or Erebus follow-ups; a campaign or PAC filing that pays for the sites; the sites going dark.

The exact question: The operator of the 37-site look-alike local news network that ChatGPT cited (NPR, Oct 30) is publicly identified by a news outlet, researcher or the operator itself by Nov 14

Proof it was called in advance

  • Published Nov 1, 2026; first recorded in the odds ledger Nov 1, 2026, 06:00 ET.
  • The commit that added it: dfcb13205f, Nov 1, 2026 (public, timestamped history).
  • Fingerprint of the exact wording (SHA-256): c20b932ae4fd06f3d7f1a36394dbd217b9e9becf502625eebdaa0f38d79192c0. Anyone can hash the question below and get the same string; any edit would change it.

How the odds moved

WhenThe index's odds
Nov 1, 2026, 06:00 ET30%

Why each move happened is in the changelog.

Every forecast and the track record →